The Demographic Costs of a War Over Taiwan

The Demographic Costs of a War Over Taiwan

Taiwan is now a geopolitical hotspot. Bloomberg Economics assesses the global economic impact of a war over Taiwan at $10 trillion – dwarfing the blow from the war in Ukraine or the COVID-19 pandemic. Some nations are trying economically and militarily to deter China from reunifying Taiwan by force. In fact, the best deterrent is … Read more

Southeast Asia’s Uncertain Global Outlook

Southeast Asia’s Uncertain Global Outlook

When I studied history at university, a lecturer instructed us to read the diaries and memoirs and newspaper articles written a few weeks before a global disaster. How did the ordinary Frenchman regard the state of the world in June 1914? What was the average Pole thinking in August 1939? Then we were instructed to … Read more

China’s Population Falls for a 2nd Straight Year as Births Continue to Drop

China’s Population Falls for a 2nd Straight Year as Births Continue to Drop

China’s population fell by 2 million people in 2023 in its second straight annual decrease, as births dropped for the seventh straight year and deaths jumped following the end of COVID-19 restrictions, the government said Wednesday. The number of deaths rose by 690,000 to 11.1 million, more than double the previous year’s increase. Demographers said … Read more

Is China Following Japan’s Economic Trajectory?

Is China Following Japan’s Economic Trajectory?

Advertisement The Diplomat author Mercy Kuo regularly engages subject-matter experts, policy practitioners, and strategic thinkers across the globe for their diverse insights into U.S. Asia policy. This conversation with George Magnus – a research associate at China Centre, Oxford University and the School of Oriental and African Studies in London; former chief economist and senior economic … Read more