The Iran Factor in the China-Taiwan-US Triangle

Israel, Iran, and China Put to the Test 

In the grand theater of global geopolitics, a complex narrative is unfolding, weaving together the fates of the Middle East, the Taiwan Strait, and the burgeoning superpower rivalry between China and the United States. This intricate saga, underscored by China’s rising influence, Iran’s regional ambitions, and Taiwan’s precarious position, offers a profound glimpse into the … Read more

Beyond the Battlefield: China’s Quiet Bid to Sway Taiwan’s 2024 Election (and Future)

Will China’s Private Security Companies Follow the Wagner Group’s Footsteps in Africa?

Amid Russia’s recent incursion into Ukraine, there’s a prevailing belief that such actions may foreshadow a potential Chinese military move toward Taiwan. However, this perspective may not fully capture Beijing’s approach.  “I do think that Xi Jinping doesn’t actually want to take Taiwan by force. He will try to use other ways to do this,” … Read more

Taiwan Should Follow the Philippines’ Model for Revealing China’s Gray Zone Tactics

China Flies 103 Military Planes Toward Taiwan

Advertisement In August-September 2020, Taiwan’s Ministry of National Defense (MND) began releasing daily reports in Chinese and English of incursions by Chinese military aircraft into its air defense identification zone (ADIZ). The objective was to publicize the latest gray zone tactic in Beijing’s multifaceted coercive toolkit against Taipei. The reporting started in large part due … Read more

China’s Word Game: A New Narrative of the “One China Principle”

China’s Word Game: A New Narrative of the “One China Principle”

Advertisement Diplomats and China watchers are familiar with the so-called “one China principle;” even “Uncle Roger,” a Malaysian-born comedian whose real name is Nigel Ng, knows what it means (and was banned in China for mocking it). The term is omnipresent – appearing at protests targeting political figures who dare to visit Taiwan, in Xi … Read more

Will China Embrace Nuclear Brinkmanship as It Reaches Nuclear Parity?

Will China Embrace Nuclear Brinkmanship as It Reaches Nuclear Parity?

Advertisement A war between the United States and China would have catastrophic global consequences. Thus, deterring Chinese revisionism must be the sine qua non of U.S. policy in the Indo-Pacific. While war has been avoided to date, China’s behavior is increasingly assertive as it seeks to become the dominant global power. China has shown itself … Read more