Trump and Biden tied in hypothetical 2024 rematch: poll

Related video: Trump polls far ahead of Republican rivals, despite legal troubles

The 2024 election looks set to be a rematch between President Joe Biden and his predecessor Donald Trump.

Despite his mounting legal problems, Mr Trump is by far the most popular candidate in the Republican field.

Only Florida governor Ron DeSantis has reached double digits but he remains miles behind Mr Trump.

Author Marianne Williamson and anti-vaccine conspiracy theorist Robert F Kennedy Jr are challenging Mr Biden for the Democratic nomination but they are not considered real threats to the president.

Mr Trump was indicted for the third time on 1 August for his efforts to overturn the 2020 election. As Democrats coalesce behind Mr Biden, Mr Trump’s mounting legal woes appear to only strengthen his support with his base.

The Republican primary is scheduled to begin with the Iowa caucuses on 15 January and the New Hampshire primary on 23 January. The primary season may go all the way into June, but who the nominee is expected to become clear well before that point.

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‘I never count out Ohio’

The Biden campaign and the Democratic National Committee (DNC) have placed ads in North Carolina and in Florida – a state most recently won by a Democrat on the presidential level in 2012. Barack Obama also won it in 2008, taking it back for Democrats after two straight wins in the state for President George W Bush.

An amendment to restore abortion rights in the Sunshine State could be on the ballot in 2024. Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, the main rival for the Republican presidential nomination to former President Donald Trump, has recently signed a six-week ban on abortions.

This week in Ohio, now widely considered to have gone from a purple to a red state, voters rejected a proposal intended to limit abortion rights. Some in Mr Biden’s circle now hope that the state could possibly be in play.

Mr Obama won the state twice, as did Mr Bush and Mr Trump.

Randi Weingarten, the president of the American Federation of Teachers and a Biden ally, told Politico: “I never count out Ohio”.

“What you saw [this week] in terms of Ohio is that fairness won out,” she added.

Gustaf Kilander11 August 2023 21:00

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Some in Biden team believe abortion rights will open new paths to victory in 2024

While many working on getting President Joe Biden reelected in 2024 think the road to victory looks similar to 2020, some see fresh pathways to remaining in the White House for another four years.

Behind that optimism is the steadfast focus of many voters on abortion rights following the fall of Roe v Wade last year.

The main path to a win is seen as going through the so-called blue wall – the Rust Belt states such as Pennsylvania and Michigan – as well as once again attempting to win states that have recently become more winnable for Democrats such as Georgia and Arizona.

But aides to Mr Biden are now working on winning back territory not won by Democrats in a decade or more.

A top comeback opportunity in North Carolina, a state not won by Democrats on the presidential level since President Barack Obama won it in 2008.

A 12-week ban on abortion has gone into effect in the state over the objections of Democratic Governor Roy Cooper, who was overruled after vetoing the bill.

An anonymous Biden campaign official told Politico that it would be “crazy” not to go for North Carolina since Mr Biden lost it by a single percentage point in 2020.

Gustaf Kilander11 August 2023 18:00

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‘Christie is doing a great job of reaching Republicans who think that Trump did crimes’

A national poll by Fairleigh Dickinson University shows Mr Trump still “well in the lead” in the GOP primary.

Professor of Government and Politics at FDU and poll director Dan Cassino told NorthJersey.com that “Trump is still well in the lead. But that doesn’t mean that his legal problems aren’t hurting him”.

Mr Trump received 58 per cent in the poll while Mr DeSantis received 15 per cent and Mr Christie and Mr Pence received five per cent.

Prof Cassino said Mr Trump is “sucking all of the air out of the room”.

He added that “criticisms of Trump have gotten Christie and Pence a lifeline, but so far, it’s not enough”.

Forty-eight per cent of Trump supporters said they would consider backing someone else.

While only 17 per cent of GOP primary voters think the indictments against Mr Trump, within that group, Mr Christie is in the lead with 25 per cent. Mr DeSantis received 19 per cent with his cohort and Mr Pence 16 per cent.

But 10 per cent said that they would support Mr Trump even if they agreed that the charges against him are correct.

“Christie is doing a great job of reaching Republicans who think that Trump did crimes,” Prof Cassino added. “The problem is that there just aren’t enough yet of them to win a Republican primary.”

Gustaf Kilander11 August 2023 15:00

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Majority of Americans have unfavourable view of Donald Trump

Florida Governor Ron DeSantis is in second place with 15.6 per cent.

Gustaf Kilander11 August 2023 12:00

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Joe Biden’s approval rating reaches 40.5 per cent

Meanwhile, 55.1 per cent disapprove of the president.

The last time more Americans approved than disapproved of Mr Biden was in August 2021.

Gustaf Kilander11 August 2023 09:00

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Anti-vaccine conspiracy theorist Robert F Kennedy Jr gets 15.2% in Dem primary polling average

President Joe Biden faces no real threats on his path to the Democratic presidential nomination in 2024.

Ms Williamson doesn’t have sufficient support to appear in FiveThirtyEight’s average of national primary polls, while Mr Kennedy receives 15.2 per cent.

Mr Biden was at 64.3 per cent as of 8 August.

Gustaf Kilander11 August 2023 06:00

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‘Christie is doing a great job of reaching Republicans who think that Trump did crimes’

A national poll by Fairleigh Dickinson University shows Mr Trump still “well in the lead” in the GOP primary.

Professor of Government and Politics at FDU and poll director Dan Cassino told NorthJersey.com that “Trump is still well in the lead. But that doesn’t mean that his legal problems aren’t hurting him”.

Mr Trump received 58 per cent in the poll while Mr DeSantis received 15 per cent and Mr Christie and Mr Pence received five per cent.

Prof Cassino said Mr Trump is “sucking all of the air out of the room”.

He added that “criticisms of Trump have gotten Christie and Pence a lifeline, but so far, it’s not enough”.

Forty-eight per cent of Trump supporters said they would consider backing someone else.

While only 17 per cent of GOP primary voters think the indictments against Mr Trump, within that group, Mr Christie is in the lead with 25 per cent. Mr DeSantis received 19 per cent with his cohort and Mr Pence 16 per cent.

But 10 per cent said that they would support Mr Trump even if they agreed that the charges against him are correct.

“Christie is doing a great job of reaching Republicans who think that Trump did crimes,” Prof Cassino added. “The problem is that there just aren’t enough yet of them to win a Republican primary.”

Gustaf Kilander11 August 2023 03:00

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Majority of Americans have unfavourable view of Donald Trump

Florida Governor Ron DeSantis is in second place with 15.6 per cent.

Gustaf Kilander11 August 2023 00:00

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Joe Biden’s approval rating reaches 40.5 per cent

Meanwhile, 55.1 per cent disapprove.

The last time more Americans approved than disapproved of Mr Biden was in August 2021.

Gustaf Kilander10 August 2023 21:00

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Anti-vaccine conspiracy theorist Robert F Kennedy Jr gets 15.2% in Dem primary polling average

President Joe Biden faces no real threats on his path to the Democratic presidential nomination in 2024.

Ms Williamson doesn’t have sufficient support to appear in FiveThirtyEight’s average of national primary polls, while Mr Kennedy receives 15.2 per cent.

Mr Biden was at 64.3 per cent as of 8 August.

Gustaf Kilander10 August 2023 18:00

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